Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -1 (90-91). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 5-17 | 4-13 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 38 | 9-20 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter