Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 36 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Howard | 35 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Paopao | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Jones | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 37 | 12-24 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 28 | - |
| J. Young | 36 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Gray | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Loyd | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Smith | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Bell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Evans | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Stokes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nye | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter