Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +2 (74-72). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 35 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 37 | 12-24 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kierstan Bell * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dana Evans | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Nye | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter