Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -14.1 | ✗ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (84-76). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 33 | 13-22 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Saniya Rivers * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Haley Peters | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aneesah Morrow | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kariata Diaby | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter