Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Howard | 36 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| B. Jones | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Canada | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Paopao | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 33 | 13-22 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 20 | - |
| B. Hartley | 26 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Rivers | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Peters | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Morrow | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Diaby | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter