Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +22 (100-78). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Siegrist * | 35 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Grace Berger * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Paige Bueckers * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Diamond Miller * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Amy Okonkwo | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Christyn Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Serena Sundell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sika Koné | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter