Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +3.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -4 (92-96). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 36 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Maria Kliundikova | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 44 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter