Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +23 (95-72). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Monique Akoa Makani * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kathryn Westbeld * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 11 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lexi Held | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Kitija Laksa | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 27 | 8-12 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kamiah Smalls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter