Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +19 (104-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 37 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| R. Jackson | 35 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Allemand | 34 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Hamby | 33 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| A. Stevens | 24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Burrell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Brink | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Pili | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Barker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Feagin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 37 | 13-26 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 22 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 31 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Canada | 31 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Paopao | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter