Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +13.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +19 (104-85). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Rickea Jackson * | 35 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Julie Allemand * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 23 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Brink | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sania Feagin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 13-26 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 30 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 30 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sika Koné | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter