Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 37 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Canada | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 22 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Jones | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Paopao | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 37 | 14-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 31 | - |
| C. Williams | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. McBride | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Carleton | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Miller | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Shepard | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter