Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (86-90). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 22 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 36 | 14-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 31 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maria Kliundikova | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter