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2025-07-29

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayes 32 6-12 3-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 15 10 -
C. Zandalasini 30 7-11 3-5 1-2 8 2 1 0 0 18 18 -
V. Burton 26 3-8 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 10 2 -
T. Fagbenle 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 4 8 -
J. Salaun 23 3-8 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
C. Leite 18 4-6 2-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
I. Rupert 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Amihere 15 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
M. Billings 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
K. Martin 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Canada 36 6-11 4-8 5-5 2 8 0 1 1 21 20 -
M. Caldwell 34 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 4 4 1 0 9 11 -
A. Gray 34 2-11 2-6 6-9 6 2 3 0 2 12 10 -
N. Hillmon 30 5-11 2-8 2-2 8 3 1 1 0 14 16 -
B. Jones 28 4-13 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
B. Griner 20 3-7 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 1 0 9 6 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Paopao 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Coffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter