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2025-07-29

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +2.7 ✗ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Dream -2 (75-77). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes * 32 6-12 3-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 15 10 -
Veronica Burton * 26 3-8 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 10 2 -
Temi Fágbénlé * 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 4 8 -
Janelle Salaün * 23 3-8 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Monique Billings * 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Cecilia Zandalasini 29 7-11 3-5 1-2 8 2 1 0 0 18 18 -
Carla Leite 17 4-6 2-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
Iliana Rupert 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Laeticia Amihere 14 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Kate Martin 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordin Canada * 35 6-11 4-8 5-5 2 8 0 1 1 21 20 -
Maya Caldwell * 34 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 4 4 1 0 9 11 -
Allisha Gray * 33 2-11 2-6 6-9 6 2 3 0 2 12 10 -
Brionna Jones * 27 4-13 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Brittney Griner * 19 3-7 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 1 0 9 6 -
Naz Hillmon 30 5-11 2-8 2-2 8 3 1 1 0 14 16 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Te-Hina Paopao 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Nia Coffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter