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2025-05-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -
Points Off/Def 60.9% 39.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howard 38 5-14 4-11 1-1 9 7 3 1 1 15 20 -
A. Gray 36 7-8 2-2 9-9 5 6 1 0 2 25 27 -
B. Jones 35 5-14 0-3 3-3 2 3 2 0 4 13 2 -
N. Hillmon 26 5-8 1-3 0-0 7 3 0 2 0 11 15 -
M. Caldwell 25 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 3 0 -
N. Coffey 20 2-5 1-4 2-2 3 3 2 1 5 7 6 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 14 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 10 9 -
T. Paopao 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Thierry 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Plum 37 10-20 4-9 3-5 3 5 4 0 4 27 15 -
D. Hamby 36 10-15 0-1 8-9 6 8 4 0 2 28 29 -
A. Stevens 28 4-14 2-4 0-0 11 1 1 1 0 10 10 -
O. Sims 27 1-6 0-1 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 3 2 -
S. Barker 20 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Allemand 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. Jackson 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
E. Cannon 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 5 7 -
L. King 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Russell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter