Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -9.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (82-88). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 37 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 9-9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 37 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 28 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Julie Allemand | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Liatu King | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter