Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✓ (25.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -33 (56-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 29 | 10-14 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 29 | - |
| R. Howard | 29 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| B. Jones | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Canada | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Paopao | 17 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Coffey | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Thierry | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Sykes | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Sutton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolson | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Austin | 19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Edwards | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Engstler | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Olsen | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Kone | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter