Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 37 | 4-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| A. Gray | 36 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| B. Jones | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Paopao | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sykes | 37 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| S. Sutton | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Dolson | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Citron | 24 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| E. Engstler | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Kone | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Olsen | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter