Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -5.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (94-90). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 4-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes * | 37 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Sug Sutton * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kiki Iriafen * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Sonia Citron * | 23 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Sika Koné | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lucy Olsen | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter