Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 36 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| K. Plum | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Allemand | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Hamby | 28 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Stevens | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Burrell | 21 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Barker | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Brink | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Feagin | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 37 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Canada | 36 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 34 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Jones | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| T. Paopao | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter