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Phoenix Mercury

Also known as: Phoenix Mercury
Program History

2025 Team Stats (57 games)

82.6
PPG
80.6
Opp
+2.0
Margin
43.2%
FG%
33.5%
3P%
78.8%
FT%
35.4
RPG
20.7
APG
12.7
TO
89.3
Pace
85.6
AdjO
78.8
AdjD
#6
Rank

Model Outputs

2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1087 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1085 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More → 1037 (#5) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +8.7 (#6) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +6.2 (#6) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.5 More → 0.585 (#7) NetEff +2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.780 (#5) AdjNet +9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.3 More → 0.787 (#5) AdjNet +9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 78.8 More → 0.651 (#6) AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 78.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.565 (#5) AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 79.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.656 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.640 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 67 | GP 57 More → 1073 (#5) RD 67 | GP 57

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-05-06 @ Las Vegas Aces L 84 - 85
2025-05-11 vs Golden State Valkyries L 79 - 84
2025-05-17 vs Seattle Storm W 81 - 59
2025-05-21 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 89 - 86
2025-05-23 @ Seattle Storm L 70 - 77
2025-05-25 vs Washington Mystics W 68 - 62
2025-05-27 vs Chicago Sky W 94 - 89
2025-05-30 vs Minnesota Lynx L 71 - 74
2025-06-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85 - 80
2025-06-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65 - 88
2025-06-05 vs Golden State Valkyries W 86 - 77
2025-06-07 vs Seattle Storm L 77 - 89
2025-06-11 vs Dallas Wings W 93 - 80
2025-06-15 @ Las Vegas Aces W 76 - 70
2025-06-18 @ Connecticut Sun W 83 - 75
2025-06-19 @ New York Liberty W 89 - 81
2025-06-21 @ Chicago Sky W 107 - 86
2025-06-27 vs New York Liberty W 106 - 91
2025-06-29 vs Las Vegas Aces L 81 - 84
2025-07-03 @ Dallas Wings L 89 - 98
2025-07-07 vs Dallas Wings W 102 - 72
2025-07-09 vs Minnesota Lynx W 79 - 71
2025-07-14 @ Golden State Valkyries W 78 - 77
2025-07-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66 - 79
2025-07-23 vs Atlanta Dream L 79 - 90
2025-07-25 @ New York Liberty L 76 - 89
2025-07-27 @ Washington Mystics W 88 - 72
2025-07-30 @ Indiana Fever L 101 - 107
2025-08-01 @ Atlanta Dream L 72 - 95
2025-08-03 @ Chicago Sky W 83 - 67
2025-08-05 vs Connecticut Sun W 82 - 66
2025-08-07 vs Indiana Fever W 95 - 60
2025-08-10 vs Atlanta Dream L 66 - 74
2025-08-15 vs Las Vegas Aces L 83 - 86
2025-08-17 @ Seattle Storm W 85 - 82
2025-08-19 @ Golden State Valkyries W 98 - 91
2025-08-21 @ Las Vegas Aces L 61 - 83
2025-08-22 vs Golden State Valkyries W 81 - 72
2025-08-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 92 - 84
2025-08-28 vs Chicago Sky W 83 - 79
2025-08-30 vs New York Liberty W 80 - 63
2025-09-02 vs Indiana Fever W 85 - 79
2025-09-04 @ Washington Mystics W 75 - 69
2025-09-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 84 - 87
2025-09-09 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 83 - 88
2025-09-11 @ Dallas Wings L 76 - 97
2025-09-14 vs New York Liberty L 69 - 76
2025-09-17 @ New York Liberty W 86 - 60
2025-09-19 vs New York Liberty W 79 - 73
2025-09-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69 - 82
2025-09-23 @ Minnesota Lynx W 89 - 83
2025-09-26 vs Minnesota Lynx W 84 - 76
2025-09-28 vs Minnesota Lynx W 86 - 81
2025-10-03 @ Las Vegas Aces L 86 - 89
2025-10-05 @ Las Vegas Aces L 78 - 91
2025-10-08 vs Las Vegas Aces L 88 - 90
2025-10-10 vs Las Vegas Aces L 86 - 97

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Satou Sabally Satou Sabally F 51 27.5 16.8 6.1 2.5 1.2 0.3 2.1 13.3 11.5 - - - 40.5 33.2 84.0 -0.21 54.3 47.6
Kahleah Copper Kahleah Copper G 40 28.6 16.0 3.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 2.0 13.2 6.1 - - - 43.6 35.7 86.8 -0.87 55.1 50.7
A. Thomas A. Thomas F 52 32.0 15.5 8.7 8.9 1.6 0.4 3.5 12.0 19.5 - - - 52.3 0.0 68.0 - 55.7 52.3
D. Bonner D. Bonner F 35 25.0 10.3 5.1 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.7 8.3 8.6 - - - 41.8 31.8 83.5 -0.62 54.4 48.8
Sami Whitcomb Sami Whitcomb G 56 23.4 8.2 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 7.5 5.3 - - - 36.6 34.0 83.1 -0.42 51.5 48.6
M. Akoa Makani M. Akoa Makani G 53 22.0 7.5 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 1.4 6.4 5.5 - - - 41.6 39.0 92.9 - 54.2 50.4
K. Laksa K. Laksa G 35 18.1 5.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 5.2 2.2 - - - 36.6 31.7 81.2 - 50.5 47.3
Celeste Taylor Celeste Taylor G 2 15.5 5.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 4.0 - - - 57.1 25.0 66.7 - 66.1 64.3
K. Westbeld K. Westbeld F 56 17.1 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 4.7 4.3 - - - 37.5 33.5 78.1 - 50.0 47.9
K. Brown K. Brown C 34 12.4 5.0 3.8 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.8 3.4 6.1 - - - 57.9 33.3 80.0 - 63.9 59.2
L. Held L. Held G 35 14.0 5.0 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.9 4.9 2.2 - - - 37.6 31.2 81.8 - 49.0 46.5
A. Makurat A. Makurat - 1 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
A. Prince A. Prince F 3 18.7 4.7 5.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.7 6.0 4.3 - - - 33.3 14.3 100.0 - 38.0 36.1
N. Mack N. Mack F 47 17.2 4.5 5.3 0.9 0.7 1.3 0.4 3.4 8.8 - - - 57.4 0.0 52.2 -0.27 57.6 57.4
K. Williams K. Williams G 13 8.8 3.6 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.2 1.9 - - - 43.9 34.6 50.0 - 55.0 54.9
M. Musa M. Musa C 12 10.1 3.3 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.9 3.5 - - - 45.7 50.0 63.6 - 50.2 47.1
M. McConnell M. McConnell - 3 11.0 3.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.7 2.0 - - - 37.5 50.0 100.0 - 53.3 50.0
S. Heal S. Heal G 1 8.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Haley Jones Haley Jones G 4 11.8 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.0 2.2 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 0.43 37.5 37.5
Sevgi Uzun Sevgi Uzun G 9 14.9 1.9 1.2 1.9 0.4 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.9 - - - 28.6 9.1 66.7 -0.26 36.0 31.0
T. Poindexter T. Poindexter - 2 9.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG