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Phoenix Mercury 98
@
Golden State Valkyries 91
2025-08-19

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% - ✓
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.8 ✗ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Valkyries -7 (91-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 35 4-5 0-0 5-7 9 8 0 1 6 13 20 -
K. Copper 32 9-20 5-9 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 25 10 -
S. Sabally 31 4-11 2-6 7-8 4 6 0 0 2 17 14 -
D. Bonner 28 4-12 1-5 3-4 5 0 1 1 0 12 7 -
S. Whitcomb 24 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 5 8 -
N. Mack 18 7-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 14 15 -
M. Akoa Makani 17 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
K. Westbeld 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Held 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Salaun 37 5-11 2-4 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 13 7 -
K. Martin 35 5-19 4-16 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 14 4 -
V. Burton 34 6-13 2-5 10-10 2 14 2 0 0 24 29 -
C. Leite 32 5-12 2-3 3-4 1 3 4 0 1 15 10 -
L. Amihere 23 5-9 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
T. Fagbenle 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
K. Chen 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Charles 9 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter