Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 37 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Collier | 37 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| B. Carleton | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 23 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Smith | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Shepard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Copper | 36 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 36 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| S. Sabally | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Mack | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter