Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sabally | 32 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Laksa | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Held | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Brown | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Uzun | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Musa | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 37 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 26 | - |
| J. Allemand | 35 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - |
| K. Plum | 34 | 4-19 | 2-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| D. Hamby | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Stevens | 20 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Russell | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Cannon | 15 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Barker | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter