Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -16 (72-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 33 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 29 | - |
| S. Sabally | 28 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 26 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Copper | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Mack | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Laksa | 11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Melbourne | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Citron | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Austin | 27 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 8 | - |
| B. Sykes | 26 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Sutton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Engstler | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Olsen | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Dolson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter