Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +1 (85-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akoa Makani | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Copper | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 16 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| N. Mack | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Sabally | 15 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Prince | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. McConnell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Makurat | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Uzun | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Poindexter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Held | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Heal | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 22 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Young | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Nye | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Gray | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Loyd | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Bradford | 17 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Stokes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Kelly | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| H. Turner | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Bell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter