Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Sykes | 28 | 1-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Sutton | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Dolson | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Engstler | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Edwards | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Kone | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Olsen | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Sabally | 31 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 29 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Held | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Laksa | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Uzun | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter