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2025-05-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Plum 40 7-19 4-9 7-10 3 6 2 1 8 25 10 -
D. Hamby 33 6-13 1-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 15 11 -
O. Sims 30 2-7 1-2 3-4 3 4 1 0 2 8 7 -
A. Stevens 30 7-12 2-4 7-8 17 0 0 1 1 23 28 -
S. Barker 28 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 4 0 1 2 2 -1 -
L. King 13 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Allemand 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
E. Cannon 9 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
M. Russell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Feagin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 33 7-10 0-0 5-6 5 7 1 2 4 19 20 -
S. Sabally 29 6-16 1-4 12-15 5 3 3 1 2 25 19 -
S. Whitcomb 28 1-7 1-6 3-4 3 1 1 1 0 6 5 -
M. Akoa Makani 24 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 11 8 -
K. Laksa 23 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 9 6 -
K. Westbeld 19 2-5 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 6 8 -
S. Uzun 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
K. Brown 14 2-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Held 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
M. Musa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter