Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 40 | 7-19 | 4-9 | 7-10 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 10 | - |
| D. Hamby | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| O. Sims | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Stevens | 30 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| S. Barker | 28 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. King | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Allemand | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Cannon | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Russell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Feagin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| S. Sabally | 29 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 28 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Laksa | 23 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Uzun | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Held | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Musa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter