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2025-07-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 35 7-14 0-0 3-4 6 11 0 2 6 17 16 -
D. Bonner 29 7-8 3-4 5-8 11 2 1 0 0 22 28 -
S. Whitcomb 29 2-7 2-5 1-2 1 5 0 0 2 7 4 -
N. Mack 28 1-4 0-1 2-3 9 1 3 2 1 4 14 -
M. Akoa Makani 26 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
K. Westbeld 26 5-11 4-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 14 5 -
K. Laksa 18 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
K. Brown 9 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 7 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thornton 38 2-12 2-8 2-3 6 4 0 0 2 8 4 -
T. Hayes 33 5-12 4-5 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 15 8 -
V. Burton 31 5-10 4-8 3-3 2 6 2 1 2 17 16 -
C. Zandalasini 20 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Billings 19 3-8 1-2 2-2 9 1 1 0 0 9 12 -
J. Salaun 19 4-12 1-4 3-3 3 1 1 0 0 12 5 -
C. Leite 15 2-8 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
T. Fagbenle 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Amihere 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
K. Martin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter