Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 28 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 29 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Mack | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 26 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| K. Laksa | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Brown | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 38 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| V. Burton | 31 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Salaun | 19 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Leite | 15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Amihere | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter