Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (86-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 38 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Wilson | 36 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 17-19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| J. Young | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| J. Loyd | 31 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Evans | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Bell | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Stokes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Copper | 36 | 12-22 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Mack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter