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2025-09-09

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Plum 33 6-15 4-8 1-3 1 5 1 0 1 17 8 -
D. Hamby 29 8-15 0-1 9-10 9 5 1 0 2 25 23 -
J. Allemand 29 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 1 1 7 10 -
R. Burrell 29 7-12 2-4 4-4 5 2 1 1 1 20 16 -
A. Stevens 27 1-9 1-8 5-6 9 3 1 0 0 8 12 -
R. Jackson 20 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
C. Brink 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 0 2 2 1 4 7 -
J. Vanloo 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Barker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Sabally 25 9-14 4-6 2-3 5 1 1 0 0 24 17 -
A. Thomas 22 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 10 2 0 3 10 21 -
K. Westbeld 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 1 2 2 1 2 7 -
K. Copper 19 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
K. Laksa 16 0-2 0-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
N. Mack 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
S. Whitcomb 15 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 11 2 -
L. Held 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Akoa Makani 15 2-5 0-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
K. Brown 14 1-2 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 1 0 7 11 -
D. Bonner 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Williams 10 2-8 2-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 1 -

* = starter