Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +22 (81-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Williams | 32 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 29 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 24 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Yueru | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Magbegor | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Clark | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Cooke | 13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Malonga | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| S. Sabally | 26 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| S. Uzun | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Prince | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Held | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter