Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Whitcomb | 30 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Laksa | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Sabally | 28 | 4-18 | 0-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 28 | 8-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| N. Mack | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Musa | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 37 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 20 | - |
| S. Ionescu | 35 | 3-16 | 1-10 | 9-9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Cloud | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| N. Sabally | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Johannes | 22 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Burke | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Gardner | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter