Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +21 (97-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Laksa | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Sabally | 20 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Held | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Copper | 17 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| N. Mack | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. James | 31 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 30 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 27 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Okonkwo | 26 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| H. Jones | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Miller | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Siegrist | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| G. Berger | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Petty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter