Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sabally | 30 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| A. Thomas | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18 | - |
| L. Held | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 23 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Laksa | 18 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Copper | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| N. Mack | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Musa | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 38 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Young | 32 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Loyd | 32 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Stokes | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - |
| A. Nye | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Bell | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Kitley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Evans | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter