Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Salaun | 29 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Charles | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| I. Rupert | 26 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| V. Burton | 25 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Amihere | 22 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Leite | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Martin | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Chen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 30 | - |
| K. Copper | 29 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 28 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Sabally | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Mack | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Held | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Laksa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter