Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 14-22 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 26 | - |
| K. Copper | 31 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 26 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| S. Sabally | 24 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Mack | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Held | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Laksa | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McDonald | 31 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 18 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Boston | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| N. Howard | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Hull | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 22 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Bibby | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Colson | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Timpson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter