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2025-07-30

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 34 14-22 0-1 4-5 15 7 1 1 8 32 26 -
K. Copper 31 6-10 2-2 8-8 1 1 1 0 3 22 12 -
S. Whitcomb 26 6-10 3-7 3-3 1 3 0 0 3 18 9 -
S. Sabally 24 3-14 0-5 3-5 5 1 3 0 1 9 3 -
D. Bonner 21 1-4 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
K. Westbeld 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
M. Akoa Makani 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
N. Mack 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
L. Held 12 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
K. Laksa 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McDonald 31 7-11 3-4 10-10 0 4 2 0 4 27 18 -
S. Cunningham 30 4-6 1-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
A. Boston 30 6-11 0-0 10-13 12 1 0 0 2 22 22 -
N. Howard 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 1 6 11 -
L. Hull 23 0-2 0-2 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 2 6 -
K. Mitchell 22 3-10 1-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 8 4 -
C. Bibby 13 2-4 2-4 4-5 0 1 1 0 2 10 6 -
S. Colson 13 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 8 6 -
D. Dantas 10 4-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
M. Timpson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter