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2025-10-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Copper 31 9-18 3-8 2-3 3 0 0 0 2 23 6 -
A. Thomas 30 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 5 3 0 3 10 12 -
M. Akoa Makani 27 3-8 0-3 3-4 1 7 1 0 1 9 9 -
S. Sabally 27 7-19 2-9 6-7 9 2 0 0 2 22 12 -
D. Bonner 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
N. Mack 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 0 6 15 -
K. Westbeld 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Whitcomb 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Brown 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Laksa 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Williams 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gray 35 4-9 1-3 1-2 8 10 3 3 3 10 22 -
J. Young 34 12-20 3-7 5-5 8 2 1 0 3 32 20 -
A. Wilson 32 13-23 0-0 2-4 14 3 1 0 3 28 20 -
J. Loyd 30 3-8 3-7 0-0 7 0 3 2 0 9 13 -
D. Evans 26 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 5 2 -
N. Smith 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 3 6 -
M. Gustafson 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Bell 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Nye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Parker-Tyus 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter