Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +30 (102-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. James | 36 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 29 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 29 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 24 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| L. Yueru | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. McCowan | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| L. King | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 27 | 12-19 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 23 | - |
| K. Laksa | 24 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4 | - |
| N. Mack | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| K. Brown | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 23 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 21 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
* = starter