Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 32 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 30 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| V. Burton | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Salaun | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Martin | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Talbot | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Leite | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Billings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Whitcomb | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| L. Held | 27 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| K. Laksa | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Sabally | 25 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Musa | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| H. Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter