Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ionescu | 37 | 8-19 | 3-12 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| B. Stewart | 35 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 12-15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - |
| N. Cloud | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 33 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Fiebich | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Burke | 21 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Meesseman | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Gardner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 37 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| K. Copper | 34 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Sabally | 34 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 7-9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Mack | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter