Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 32 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Laksa | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Williams | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 23 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Mack | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 20 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Brown | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Carleton | 27 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| N. Collier | 26 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Shepard | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Miller | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Kosu | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter