Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.6% | 16.4% | -9.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -16 (67-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | - |
| K. Copper | 26 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Mack | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| K. Brown | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 18 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Held | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Laksa | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cardoso | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Nurse | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Banham | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 24 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Uzun | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Williams | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Allen | 16 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter