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2025-08-30

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Cloud 31 5-10 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 13 9 -
L. Fiebich 30 1-7 1-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
E. Meesseman 30 7-9 2-2 1-2 4 2 3 0 1 17 16 -
J. Jones 29 3-8 0-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 5 6 4 -
B. Stewart 27 4-9 2-5 4-5 6 3 2 0 1 14 15 -
M. Johannes 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 4 -3 -
K. Burke 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 -
R. Gardner 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
S. Talbot 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Harrison 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Copper 33 7-15 5-10 3-4 2 0 1 0 3 22 7 -
A. Thomas 31 6-12 0-0 2-4 5 9 0 0 2 14 14 -
N. Mack 29 4-5 0-0 0-2 10 1 1 4 1 8 18 -
M. Akoa Makani 27 2-7 1-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 5 3 -
S. Sabally 26 4-9 3-5 3-3 2 4 3 0 2 14 12 -
D. Bonner 22 4-9 1-5 0-1 7 0 1 1 1 9 8 -
S. Whitcomb 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 3 -
K. Westbeld 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
K. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Held 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter