Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shepard | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. McBride | 35 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Smith | 34 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Carleton | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| A. Pili | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Badiane | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sabally | 32 | 10-20 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Held | 26 | 2-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Laksa | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 22 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Uzun | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Musa | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter