Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Billings | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| V. Burton | 21 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Toure | 17 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| L. Amihere | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Leite | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Linskens | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| C. Bibby | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Chen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Cunane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Uzun | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Taylor | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Sabally | 21 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Prince | 19 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Mack | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Brown | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. McConnell | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Poindexter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter