Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 43 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| S. Sabally | 38 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 33 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Copper | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Mack | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 43 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| B. Carleton | 41 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Collier | 38 | 10-22 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 36 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Smith | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Shepard | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Kosu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter