Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 37 | 13-19 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 26 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 30 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Carrington | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Siegrist | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Charles | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. James | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Whitcomb | 31 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Laksa | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Sabally | 26 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 25 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Held | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| N. Mack | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Musa | 12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter