Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 32 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Copper | 30 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Sabally | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| N. Mack | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| T. Charles | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| S. Rivers | 30 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Lacan | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Morrow | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| L. Allen | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Edwards | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Toure | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Peters | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter