Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Sabally | 32 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Copper | 27 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 9-13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 18 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 26 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Laksa | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Brown | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| N. Mack | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. James | 38 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 33 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| L. Yueru | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. McCowan | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. King | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter