Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 19 | - |
| S. Sabally | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| K. Laksa | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Copper | 22 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Held | 20 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. Mack | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Musa | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 37 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 24 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| A. Morrow | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| S. Rivers | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Charles | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Peters | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Diaby | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Allen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter