Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 32 | - |
| S. Sabally | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 29 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| K. Copper | 28 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Mack | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Held | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 37 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Allemand | 34 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Hamby | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| R. Jackson | 27 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| A. Stevens | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Burrell | 23 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Brink | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter