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2025-06-27

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 31 7-13 0-3 3-4 5 4 1 0 3 17 11 -
N. Cloud 30 5-11 0-1 4-4 4 7 1 0 1 14 14 -
S. Ionescu 26 2-9 1-2 4-4 0 7 1 0 0 9 8 -
K. Burke 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
N. Sabally 22 6-7 0-0 4-7 6 0 0 0 0 16 15 -
M. Johannes 18 3-5 3-5 1-2 3 2 3 0 2 10 11 -
R. Gardner 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
I. Harrison 15 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Sherrod 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
M. Davis 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 31 7-11 0-0 3-3 9 15 0 0 2 17 28 -
K. Laksa 27 6-10 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
K. Copper 25 5-14 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 12 -1 -
S. Sabally 24 8-14 7-10 2-3 6 3 2 0 3 25 19 -
S. Whitcomb 22 5-8 5-7 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 15 12 -
N. Mack 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. Akoa Makani 18 3-6 2-3 1-1 2 4 1 0 2 9 8 -
K. Westbeld 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 5 6 -
K. Brown 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
M. Musa 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Williams 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter