Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 31 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| N. Cloud | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Ionescu | 26 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Burke | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Sabally | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M. Johannes | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Gardner | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Harrison | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 28 | - |
| K. Laksa | 27 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| K. Copper | 25 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| S. Sabally | 24 | 8-14 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 22 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| N. Mack | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Brown | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Musa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter