Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 37 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| K. Copper | 37 | 10-23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | - |
| S. Sabally | 32 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Whitcomb | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Mack | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 38 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| N. Collier | 34 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 33 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| B. Carleton | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 26 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Shepard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter