Atlanta Dream
2024 Team Stats (42 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 996 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 916 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 961 (#8) | HCA +25 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.4 (#6) | HCA +1.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.2 (#6) | HCA +0.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.386 (#8) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.406 (#8) | AdjNet -3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.406 (#8) | AdjNet -3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.447 (#6) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.494 (#6) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.451 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.461 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 972 (#8) | RD 134 | GP 42 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rhyne Howard
|
G | 34 | 32.6 | 16.8 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 14.6 | 10.5 | -11 | 32 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 37.6 | 33.1 | 77.1 | -0.03 | 51.0 | 46.4 |
Allisha Gray
|
G | 44 | 32.3 | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 12.4 | 9.8 | 100 | 42 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 41.3 | 35.2 | 76.7 | -0.69 | 53.5 | 48.3 |
Tina Charles
|
C | 43 | 29.0 | 14.5 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 13.2 | 12.4 | 53 | 41 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 25.6 | 78.9 | 0.46 | 50.5 | 47.0 |
Jordin Canada
|
G | 22 | 30.9 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 10.2 | 3 | 22 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 39.2 | 27.9 | 76.0 | 0.17 | 50.0 | 43.7 |
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus
|
F | 27 | 19.2 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 120 | 25 | 4.8 | 12.0 | 44.4 | 18.8 | 89.3 | 0.26 | 53.2 | 45.2 |
T. Cole
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 71.2 | 70.0 |
Aerial Powers
|
G | 19 | 17.9 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 67 | 17 | 3.9 | 19.1 | 35.1 | 41.5 | 78.4 | 0.67 | 46.8 | 40.6 |
K. Hillsman
|
- | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 81.0 | 66.7 |
E. Balogun
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Naz Hillmon
|
F | 44 | 21.5 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 55.2 | 25.0 | 76.6 | - | 59.8 | 55.5 |
Maya Caldwell
|
G | 27 | 15.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 91 | 27 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 41.1 | 28.8 | 80.0 | -0.51 | 49.0 | 46.9 |
K. Cave
|
- | 2 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 31.1 | 25.0 |
Destanni Henderson
|
G | 8 | 17.9 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 3.6 | - | - | - | - | 32.4 | 20.0 | 44.4 | - | 37.8 | 36.5 |
Haley Jones
|
G | 44 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 106 | 42 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 38.9 | 21.4 | 73.6 | 0.43 | 46.1 | 40.7 |
E. Kalu
|
G | 2 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 40.0 | 28.6 |
Nia Coffey
|
F | 44 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 126 | 42 | 3.0 | 9.2 | 33.1 | 28.9 | 78.3 | -1.01 | 42.6 | 39.8 |
Crystal Dangerfield
|
G | 16 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 162 | 33 | 4.9 | 12.5 | 29.0 | 20.8 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 38.9 | 33.1 |
Laeticia Amihere
|
F | 20 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 38.1 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 38.1 | 38.1 |
Lorela Cubaj
|
F | 30 | 8.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 44.6 | 43.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2024 Shot Zones
2985 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tina CharlesAllisha GrayRhyne Howard
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 474-802 | 59.1 | 948 | Tina Charles 20% (186 pts) | Naz Hillmon 16% (154 pts) | Tina Charles 19% (61 misses) | Allisha Gray 16% (53 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 255-698 | 36.5 | 510 | Tina Charles 34% (172 pts) | Allisha Gray 15% (76 pts) | Tina Charles 24% (105 misses) | Allisha Gray 19% (84 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 92-265 | 34.7 | 184 | Tina Charles 36% (66 pts) | Allisha Gray 20% (36 pts) | Tina Charles 34% (59 misses) | Allisha Gray 13% (23 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 60-143 | 42.0 | 120 | Tina Charles 18% (22 pts) | Allisha Gray 15% (18 pts) | Rhyne Howard 18% (15 misses) | Tina Charles 17% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 86-238 | 36.1 | 172 | Tina Charles 31% (54 pts) | Rhyne Howard 21% (36 pts) | Tina Charles 22% (34 misses) | Rhyne Howard 21% (32 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 21-69 | 30.4 | 63 | Allisha Gray 29% (18 pts) | Rhyne Howard 29% (18 pts) | Rhyne Howard 31% (15 misses) | Nia Coffey 19% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 10-40 | 25.0 | 30 | Allisha Gray 60% (18 pts) | Jordin Canada 10% (3 pts) | Allisha Gray 27% (8 misses) | Rhyne Howard 23% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 104-291 | 35.7 | 312 | Rhyne Howard 36% (111 pts) | Allisha Gray 25% (78 pts) | Rhyne Howard 26% (48 misses) | Allisha Gray 24% (44 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 34-150 | 22.7 | 102 | Rhyne Howard 35% (36 pts) | Allisha Gray 26% (27 pts) | Rhyne Howard 29% (34 misses) | Allisha Gray 27% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 97-289 | 33.6 | 291 | Rhyne Howard 32% (93 pts) | Allisha Gray 30% (87 pts) | Rhyne Howard 36% (70 misses) | Allisha Gray 26% (49 misses) |