๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Atlanta Dream

Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2024 Team Stats (42 games)

76.9
PPG
80.1
Opp
-3.2
Margin
41.1%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
36.0
RPG
18.4
APG
12.5
TO
79.9
Est. poss./game
76.8
Adj PPG
79.1
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 996 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 916 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +25 elo More โ†’ 961 (#8) HCA +25 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.0 More โ†’ -2.4 (#6) HCA +1.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.7 More โ†’ -0.2 (#6) HCA +0.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.386 (#8) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.406 (#8) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.406 (#8) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 79.1 More โ†’ 0.447 (#6) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 79.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 78.9 More โ†’ 0.494 (#6) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 78.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.451 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.461 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 42 More โ†’ 972 (#8) RD 134 | GP 42

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-05-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 92 - 81
2024-05-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 85 - 88
2024-05-21 vs Dallas Wings W 83 - 78
2024-05-26 vs Minnesota Lynx L 79 - 92
2024-05-29 @ Washington Mystics W 73 - 67
2024-05-31 vs Las Vegas Aces W 78 - 74
2024-06-02 vs Connecticut Sun L 50 - 69
2024-06-06 vs New York Liberty L 61 - 78
2024-06-08 @ Chicago Sky W 89 - 80
2024-06-11 vs Washington Mystics L 68 - 87
2024-06-13 @ Indiana Fever L 84 - 91
2024-06-16 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 87 - 74
2024-06-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 55 - 68
2024-06-21 vs Indiana Fever L 79 - 91
2024-06-23 vs New York Liberty L 75 - 96
2024-06-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 78 - 74
2024-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 75 - 81
2024-07-02 vs Chicago Sky L 77 - 85
2024-07-05 @ Dallas Wings L 82 - 85
2024-07-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 67 - 80
2024-07-10 @ Chicago Sky L 69 - 78
2024-07-12 vs Las Vegas Aces L 70 - 84
2024-07-14 @ Seattle Storm L 70 - 81
2024-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79 - 86
2024-08-16 vs Seattle Storm W 83 - 81
2024-08-18 vs Connecticut Sun W 82 - 70
2024-08-21 vs Phoenix Mercury W 72 - 63
2024-08-23 vs Phoenix Mercury L 80 - 82
2024-08-26 vs Indiana Fever L 79 - 84
2024-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 81 - 85
2024-08-30 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 83
2024-09-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 80 - 62
2024-09-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66 - 74
2024-09-06 vs Dallas Wings W 107 - 96
2024-09-08 @ Indiana Fever L 100 - 104
2024-09-10 vs Minnesota Lynx L 64 - 76
2024-09-13 vs Washington Mystics L 69 - 72
2024-09-15 @ Washington Mystics W 76 - 73
2024-09-17 vs Chicago Sky W 86 - 70
2024-09-19 @ New York Liberty W 78 - 67
2024-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 69 - 83
2024-09-24 @ New York Liberty L 82 - 91

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rhyne Howard Rhyne Howard G 34 32.6 16.8 4.3 3.0 1.8 0.7 1.6 14.6 10.5 -11 32 -0.3 -0.7 37.6 33.1 77.1 -0.03 51.0 46.4
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 44 32.3 15.3 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.7 1.7 12.4 9.8 100 42 2.4 4.5 41.3 35.2 76.7 -0.69 53.5 48.3
Tina Charles Tina Charles C 43 29.0 14.5 9.2 2.2 0.9 0.5 1.6 13.2 12.4 53 41 1.3 3.0 46.0 25.6 78.9 0.46 50.5 47.0
Jordin Canada Jordin Canada G 22 30.9 10.1 3.2 6.0 1.5 0.2 2.2 8.6 10.2 3 22 0.1 0.2 39.2 27.9 76.0 0.17 50.0 43.7
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F 27 19.2 9.1 4.7 1.5 0.8 0.3 2.0 7.3 7.1 120 25 4.8 12.0 44.4 18.8 89.3 0.26 53.2 45.2
T. Cole T. Cole - 1 18.0 9.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 - - - - 60.0 50.0 66.7 - 71.2 70.0
Aerial Powers Aerial Powers G 19 17.9 8.7 3.3 1.4 1.0 0.3 1.3 8.1 5.3 67 17 3.9 19.1 35.1 41.5 78.4 0.67 46.8 40.6
K. Hillsman K. Hillsman - 1 13.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 - - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 81.0 66.7
E. Balogun E. Balogun - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Naz Hillmon Naz Hillmon F 44 21.5 5.7 4.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.0 4.1 7.5 - - - - 55.2 25.0 76.6 - 59.8 55.5
Maya Caldwell Maya Caldwell G 27 15.7 4.9 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 4.8 3.0 91 27 3.4 6.6 41.1 28.8 80.0 -0.51 49.0 46.9
K. Cave K. Cave - 2 16.5 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 4.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 31.1 25.0
Destanni Henderson Destanni Henderson G 8 17.9 3.9 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.2 1.4 4.6 3.6 - - - - 32.4 20.0 44.4 - 37.8 36.5
Haley Jones Haley Jones G 44 17.2 3.9 2.1 2.1 0.3 0.2 1.6 3.7 3.4 106 42 2.5 7.4 38.9 21.4 73.6 0.43 46.1 40.7
E. Kalu E. Kalu G 2 14.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 1.5 - - - - 28.6 0.0 75.0 - 40.0 28.6
Nia Coffey Nia Coffey F 44 13.4 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 3.8 3.0 126 42 3.0 9.2 33.1 28.9 78.3 -1.01 42.6 39.8
Crystal Dangerfield Crystal Dangerfield G 16 14.2 3.2 1.1 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 3.9 2.1 162 33 4.9 12.5 29.0 20.8 100.0 -0.42 38.9 33.1
Laeticia Amihere Laeticia Amihere F 20 6.0 1.9 2.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 1.8 - - - - 38.1 0 33.3 - 38.1 38.1
Lorela Cubaj Lorela Cubaj F 30 8.1 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 - - - - 43.2 0 60.0 - 44.6 43.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024 Shot Zones

2985 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Charles20% Charles34% Charles36% Charles18% Charles31% Gray29% Gray60% Howard36% Howard35% Howard32%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Charles19% Charles24% Charles34% Howard18% Charles22% Howard31% Gray27% Howard26% Howard29% Howard36%
Misses: who misses most here

Tina CharlesAllisha GrayRhyne Howard

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 474-802 59.1 948 Tina Charles 20% (186 pts) Naz Hillmon 16% (154 pts) Tina Charles 19% (61 misses) Allisha Gray 16% (53 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 255-698 36.5 510 Tina Charles 34% (172 pts) Allisha Gray 15% (76 pts) Tina Charles 24% (105 misses) Allisha Gray 19% (84 misses)
Mid-range left 92-265 34.7 184 Tina Charles 36% (66 pts) Allisha Gray 20% (36 pts) Tina Charles 34% (59 misses) Allisha Gray 13% (23 misses)
Mid-range center 60-143 42.0 120 Tina Charles 18% (22 pts) Allisha Gray 15% (18 pts) Rhyne Howard 18% (15 misses) Tina Charles 17% (14 misses)
Mid-range right 86-238 36.1 172 Tina Charles 31% (54 pts) Rhyne Howard 21% (36 pts) Tina Charles 22% (34 misses) Rhyne Howard 21% (32 misses)
Left corner 3 21-69 30.4 63 Allisha Gray 29% (18 pts) Rhyne Howard 29% (18 pts) Rhyne Howard 31% (15 misses) Nia Coffey 19% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 10-40 25.0 30 Allisha Gray 60% (18 pts) Jordin Canada 10% (3 pts) Allisha Gray 27% (8 misses) Rhyne Howard 23% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 104-291 35.7 312 Rhyne Howard 36% (111 pts) Allisha Gray 25% (78 pts) Rhyne Howard 26% (48 misses) Allisha Gray 24% (44 misses)
Above-break 3 center 34-150 22.7 102 Rhyne Howard 35% (36 pts) Allisha Gray 26% (27 pts) Rhyne Howard 29% (34 misses) Allisha Gray 27% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 right 97-289 33.6 291 Rhyne Howard 32% (93 pts) Allisha Gray 30% (87 pts) Rhyne Howard 36% (70 misses) Allisha Gray 26% (49 misses)