Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -8.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (85-82). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lou Lopez Sénéchal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter