Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 37 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| H. Jones | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Charles | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Henderson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Cubaj | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Amihere | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 39 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 39 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 35 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. McCowan | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| N. Howard | 24 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Uzun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Lopez Senechal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter