Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +14.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (83-78). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 37 | 8-20 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Stephanie Soares * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kalani Brown * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lou Lopez Sénéchal | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter